Power

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Federal investigation spurs H.B. 6 repeal efforts and potential upside for gas

Ohio H.B. 6 repeal in the works following allegations of bribery Two Ohio House Democrats – Reps. Mike Skindell and Mike O’Brien – announced in a press release on Wednesday, July 22, that they will immediately introduce a bill to repeal House Bill 6, the controversial law passed a year ago that provides ratepayer-funded subsidies […]

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California’s Natural Gas Challenge

California finding it difficult to get past natural gas In late 2019, Southern California Edison released “Pathway 2045”, its report on how the utility will meet the state’s aggressive carbon reduction mandates.  Just over a year earlier, then-Governor Gavin Jerry Brown (D) signed into law S.B. 100, which accelerated the state’s existing renewable portfolio standard […]

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COVID-19 and Mild Weather Combine to Suppress Electricity Demand

COVID-19 and Mild Weather Combine to Suppress Electricity Demand Electricity demand in the continental U.S. since the beginning of the year has been sharply lower than during the same period in 2019, though the response to the ongoing COVID-19 virus pandemic is only partially to blame.  Demand across the six largest centrally-dispatched markets – PJM, […]

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EVA Expects Coal Burn to Reach 470 Million Tons in 2020

NATIONAL TAKE-AWAYS After a warmer-than-expected winter, natural gas is expected to continue to take market share from coal resources through 2020. EVA’s March 2020 Gas & Coal Price Sensitivity Outlook draws the following high-level conclusions: January coal burn dropped by nearly 20 million tons YoY, the largest monthly drop recorded in recent history. Weak electricity […]

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Coal Retrofits the Largest Source of Emission Reductions

Annual U.S. Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) and Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) emissions from coal-fired plants have sharply declined over the past two decades. Relative to the 2000 levels SO2 and NOx emissions were 88% and 82% lower in 2018, respectively. Total SO2 emissions fell from ~11 million tons in 2000 to ~1.2 million tons in 2018. EVA’s […]

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New York Carbon Emissions Set to Rise in the Wake of Indian Point Retirement

EVA has modeled the impact of the retirement of Entergy’s Indian Point nuclear plant and found that in the near term, power sector carbon emissions will increase as the lost nuclear generation is replaced with natural gas generation.  Further, the retirement will increase the cost to comply with the state’s recently updated Clean Energy Standard […]

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Special Report: New York’s “Green New Deal”

EVA has published a special report analyzing the power-sector impacts of New York’s “Green New Deal” legislation. An executive summary of the report can be read below. Executive Summary Background on New York’s ” Green New Deal” On July 18th, 2019, Governor Andrew Cuomo (D-NY) signed into law the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act […]

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EVA and NGSA Release Winter Natural Gas Outlook

EVA worked closely with staff at Natural Gas Supply Association to produce a Winter Natural Gas Outlook for 2019-2020. Top line findings from the NGSA’s Winter Natural Gas Outlook include: U.S. natural gas supply and demand for 2019-2020 winter are both forecasted to experience substantial growth winter-over-winter. Total gas production is expected to grow 3.8 […]

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Key Takeaways from EPA’s ACE Rule

Yesterday the EPA released the final Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) rule. The rule was mostly unchanged from the original proposed rule. EVA’s environmental team has drawn the following takeaways for how the ACE rule will impact the industry: The rule will impact all coal-fired electric generating units (EGUs) greater than 25 MW, which were in […]

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Gas and Coal Price Sensitivity Outlook: ERCOT Spotlight

National Summary: Gas burn in February actualizing at a record 27.35 BCFD, nearly 0.6 BCFD higher than in January and 2.4 BCFD higher YoY. Coal burn was relatively flat YoY for February, while hydro generation declined by 13.5% from last year. Exhibit seven demonstrates that gas burn is expected to remain around 27 BCFD through […]

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