The Natural Gas Supply Association (NGSA) and Energy Ventures Analysis (EVA) released the Natural Gas Market Outlook report for Winter 2021-2022. Highlights include forecasts for gas production, Canadian gas imports, power burns and economical switching, industrial demand, LNG exports, Mexican gas exports, and end-of-winter season storage scenario analysis. U.S. natural gas market became significantly tighter […]
Federal investigation spurs H.B. 6 repeal efforts and potential upside for gas
Ohio H.B. 6 repeal in the works following allegations of bribery Two Ohio House Democrats – Reps. Mike Skindell and Mike O’Brien – announced in a press release on Wednesday, July 22, that they will immediately introduce a bill to repeal House Bill 6, the controversial law passed a year ago that provides ratepayer-funded subsidies […]
COVID-19 and Possible Economic Demand Destruction
Let’s talk about the 6-ton elephant in the room, economic demand destruction. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and simultaneous oil price war have joined forces to drive a sector-wide commodity sell-off. As cities and states across the U.S. have begun issuing unprecedented measures to contain the spread of the virus (today, Governor Cuomo of New York […]
EVA Expects Coal Burn to Reach 470 Million Tons in 2020
NATIONAL TAKE-AWAYS After a warmer-than-expected winter, natural gas is expected to continue to take market share from coal resources through 2020. EVA’s March 2020 Gas & Coal Price Sensitivity Outlook draws the following high-level conclusions: January coal burn dropped by nearly 20 million tons YoY, the largest monthly drop recorded in recent history. Weak electricity […]
Pennsylvania Governor Pushes to Join RGGI
Pennsylvania makes strides towards joining regional carbon cap-and-trade program On October 3, 2019, Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf (D) issued an executive order directing the state’s Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) to develop a proposal to limit power sector carbon emissions consistent with the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), a multi-state cap-and-trade program intended to reduce […]
Jan-Feb 2020 Liquefied Natural Gas Market Highlights
The January-February 2020 Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) market saw a lot of gas and not a lot of buying. Here are some of the dynamics we’re watching as the month comes to an end: Prompt Month Spot Price Dynamics The JKM LNG index for March LNG deliveries to Northeast Asia averaged $4.08/MMBTU over the 30 […]
Update: Indiana Governor Signs Bill Preventing Public Utilities From Retiring Coal
Update: H.B. 1414 was signed into law by Indiana Governor Eric Holcomb (R) on March 23rd. The below blog post was EVA’s analysis as of January 27th. A recently proposed Indiana bill would prevent public utilities from retiring, selling, or otherwise altering the operations of any of their electric generating facilities without first obtaining permission […]
2019 LNG Market Roundup
In 2019 EVA’s Quarterly LNG Outlook tracked import and export terminal progress, global supply and demand dynamics, and the resulting price price environment. Our major LNG Market 2019 takeaways are as follows: Gas Glut and Price Slump in LNG Market: Mild weather and oversupply drove both Asia and Europe LNG indices to collapse in 2019. […]
Gas and Coal Price Sensitivity Outlook: ERCOT Spotlight
National Summary: Gas burn in February actualizing at a record 27.35 BCFD, nearly 0.6 BCFD higher than in January and 2.4 BCFD higher YoY. Coal burn was relatively flat YoY for February, while hydro generation declined by 13.5% from last year. Exhibit seven demonstrates that gas burn is expected to remain around 27 BCFD through […]
Gas and Coal Burn Sensitivity Outlook: MISO Spotlight
EVA’s latest monthly Gas and Coal Price Sensitivity Outlook indicates that annual 2019 coal burn will end up below 600 million tons while gas burn will surpass 2018 levels and end up at nearly 29 BCFD for the year. January gas burn was off to a good start with a 6.2% increase YoY, despite total […]