Arlington, Virginia – EVA has released its monthly forecast of the U.S. natural gas markets with related prices for March. The exceptionally mild 2016/2017 winter masked a relatively narrow supply and demand balance. The correspondingly lower winter prices has restrained—to a degree—upstream investment priming the market for serious tightness heading into the summer. However, the […]
Steady Summer Flows: Global price differentials tighten heading into summer, but not enough to shut-in Sabine Pass
Since beginning operations in February 2016, exports from Sabine Pass LNG on the Gulf Coast of Louisiana have flowed at high utilization rates. More than 100 cargoes have already been shipped from the terminal and besides a 3-week shutdown for scheduled maintenance in November, the project has operated at near full capacity. The high output […]
Equal Demand Reaction? Sagging U.S. gasoline demand may thwart OPEC’s efforts to balance markets
The key premise of OPEC’s plan to balance oil markets was that reduced production, combined with increasing global oil demand, would erode excess supply. While the supply cuts have proceeded largely as planned, global oil demand remains an outstanding question. Most demand expectations for 2017 were already rather modest, ranging around 1.1 MMBD, or 1.1% […]
Unwavering Support: Congress and the new administration will likely seek to expedite U.S. LNG exports
Over the last several years, a general bi-partisan consensus had emerged in support of U.S. LNG exports. The Republican party has strongly advocated for exports and while staunch opposition persists among a small set of Democratic politicians, most followed the Obama administration’s position of offering tepid support—provided projects first complete a comprehensive permitting process. Under […]
EVA Special Report: Second Wave of U.S. LNG Exports to Rival Magnitude of First Wave
Arlington, Virginia – February 14, 2017 Energy Ventures Analysis (EVA) today published a report analyzing the current status of U.S. LNG exports. The report goes beyond the increasingly well-understood first wave of U.S. LNG projects and evaluates the potential timing and magnitude of a second phase of projects likely to be sanctioned over the next […]
More Than a Headline? A closer look at non-binding HOA offtake contracts
Despite a strong consensus that the global LNG market is headed into a period of considerable oversupply, developers continue seek every opportunity to garner commercial momentum for their proposed LNG projects. Binding offtake contracts remain a necessity for new LNG projects. Given the scale of the investment and length of the construction timeline, proposed projects […]
EVA Special Report: Competition Between Renewables and Natural Gas Escalates
Arlington, Virginia – January 19, 2017 Energy Ventures Analysis (EVA) today published a report analyzing regional dynamics of near-term renewables and gas power capacity additions. The report focuses on a few critical states (Texas, California, Pennsylvania and New York) and evaluates the increasingly prevalent competition between gas and renewable energy (namely, wind and utility-scale solar […]
Monthly Short-Term Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Price Forecast
Monthly Short-Term Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Price Forecast Published December 29, 2016 Arlington, Virginia – December 29, 2016 – EVA Decodes OPEC’s Fuzzy Math and Finds Global Glut to Persist Through 2017. In EVA’s recently released Monthly Short-Term Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Price Forecast the OPEC plan for balancing global […]
Energy Ventures Analysis’ Leading Natural Gas Market Advisory Service Anticipated Surprise JAN Expiration for Weeks
Arlington, Virginia – January 5, 2017 Headlines flashed across markets last week announcing that natural gas prices had ripped their way to a two-year high as threats of cold-air invasions met an unusually-tight supply/demand balance, completing a 5-day, 20.5% rally into the JAN contract expiry of $3.93. Clearly, this found many market participants surprised, with […]
Betting Big on Spot: Massive tenders from new importers push LNG spot market to new heights
In the past few months, two relatively new LNG buyers—Pakistan and Egypt—issued unprecedented tenders for short-term LNG supply. The deals, though not fully completed, reflect the convergence of two mutually-reinforcing trends: the rapid emergence of new importers and the heavy surplus of LNG set to hit the market in the next few years. In late […]