EVA’s Energy Trader Dashboard (ETD): Term Power Outlook is a weekly publication designed for power marketers and traders who need a fast, fundamentals-grounded view of where power prices are headed. Each edition compares two perspectives on the market: ICE futures prices and EVA’s proprietary dispatch model forecasts, identifying where the market may be overvalued or undervalued relative to underlying fundamentals.
EVA’s fundamental view is built using the AURORA power dispatch model, which simulates hourly operations of every power plant in the country using market gas prices, EVA’s proprietary coal and oil price forecasts, and EVA’s econometric electricity demand forecast. The subscription includes an accompanying Excel data file with all underlying price and demand data.
Each weekly edition covers:
- EVA on-peak power price forecasts vs. ICE market forwards for the prompt three months, by hub and zone across NYISO, ISO-NE, PJM, MISO, SPP, ERCOT, and CAISO
- Daily and weekly natural gas price snapshot with supply and demand fundamentals
- Temperature deviations from normal by region with a three-month weather outlook
- Historical and forecasted electricity demand with high, base, and low sensitivity ranges
- Power price sensitivity analysis across gas price and demand scenarios for on-peak and off-peak hours
- Prompt month market heat rate trends for the last 60 trading days by hub
